Are Harry Potter Legos More Popular than Harry Potter Movies?

Pattern Data Science

April 25, 2022

It’s been a decade since the then Prime Minister of Great Britain, David Cameron announced the first official International Harry Potter Day, and Pottermania is just as strong as ever. The holiday, which takes place every year on May 2nd (the date on which the fated Battle of Hogwarts took place), gives fans of the smash hit series a chance to celebrate the Wizarding World all over again.

As the leader in global ecommerce acceleration, we’re constantly analyzing trends in online commerce to help brands understand how various events impact consumer behavior. So, with the 10th Anniversary of International Harry Potter Day coming right up, we wanted to discover:

  • Does Harry Potter merchandise receive any kind of boost during International Harry Potter Day?
  • Which types of Harry Potter merchandise are the most popular?
  • And has the pandemic changed demand for Harry Potter merch?

To find out the answers to these questions, our data science team examined several search terms and categories associated with Harry Potter and analyzed market demand on Amazon over the past few years.

Does International Harry Potter Day drive online demand for Harry Potter?

The first thing we wanted to examine was what kind of impact, if any, International Harry Potter Day has on online demand for all things Potter. To do this, we took a look back at weekly demand for various Harry Potter related categories and items on Amazon U.S. Let’s start with the broadest look possible by examining demand for “Harry Potter” as a general term.

Interestingly, last year it was actually Valentine’s Day that drove the most demand for Harry Potter as a broad term. The week of Harry Potter Day didn’t appear to have any major impact on demand, although there was a slight bump the following week of May 9 - 15.

Demand spiked again in late June and early July, while Halloween and the end of the year also brought surges in demand.

To get a clearer picture, however, we next need to dig a little deeper into some specific Harry Potter categories and items. Let’s start by seeing which were the most popular last year.

When comparing total Amazon demand in all of 2021, “Harry Potter gifts” saw far and away the most demand, 73% more than the next most popular category, the Harry Potter movies.

Harry Potter legos were the next most popular, while merchandise came in fourth, and the books that started it all rounded out the top five.

So did any one of these categories see a big Harry Potter Day boost? Let’s compare the change in weekly demand for each category.

Here we see that none of the top 5 categories received any significant bump during the week of International Harry Potter Day, and only the movies even experienced above annual average demand that week.

All five categories started the year strong, particularly Harry Potter merchandise, and most saw demand slowly decline as winter turned to spring. The books and movies both saw an increase in demand during the last week of June and first week of July.

Unsurprisingly Harry Potter gifts and Harry Potter Lego both rely heavily on the holiday shopping season to drive demand, but the other categories prove that demand for all things Harry Potter remains consistently high most of the year.

Which Harry Potter characters drive the most online demand?

Of course, searches for “Harry Potter” themed items could be about the franchise at large, or about the Boy Who Lived himself, but we wanted to see how some of the other characters from the series stacked up.

Let’s start by comparing total demand for some of the most popular character’s wands, since some say the wand makes the witch or wizard (or the other way around):

Out of the pool of the six wands we compared, “Harry Potter Wand” captured over half of the total demand. This almost certainly includes some people simply searching for wands related to the universe as well as those searching for Harry’s wand itself.

In a strong second place is Hermione Granger’s wand, while the fabled Elder Wand came in at number three, and Ron Weasly’s wand just edged out Professor Snape and Lord Voldemort’s wands.

Taking the same view at character costumes shows once again that the likely mix of Harry-specific costumes as well as broader franchise costumes, put “Harry Potter costume” at a clear #1. Hermione is the second most popular character when it comes to costumes as well, although this time capturing nearly a third of demand.

Voldemort and snape leapfrogged Ron this time, proving more villainous costumes are always in high demand.

And here’s a quick view at the popular Funko Pop figurines shows finally gives Ron Weasley a win, edging out Hermione for second place behind the particularly dominant Harry Potter Funko Pop search term.

Last, but certainly not least, let’s take a look at one of the elements of the Harry Potter franchise that fans connect with the most: the four Hogwarts Houses.

Here we see a fascinating reversal of what you might expect based on the books and films. Gryffindor, home of nearly every major protagonist in the series, including Harry Potter himself, actually saw the least demand of the four houses.

Instead it was Slytherin, the house most associated with dark witches and wizards and all the major villains in the series, that saw the most demand.

Hufflepuff, the house known for good vibes and good friends, edged out the bookish Ravenclaw for second place in the race for the online demand House Cup.

Interestingly, Slytherin’s place on top has been a somewhat more recent development.

From January 2019 through July 2020, Hufflepuff was actually the most popular house. Then, in September 2020, popularity for Slytherin shot through the roof, and has remained consistently the most popular house since.

One thing that hasn’t changed, though, is Gryffindor’s status as the least popular house.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Harry Potter merchandise

Finally, we wanted to see if the COVID-19 pandemic had any immediate or long-term impact on demand for different types of Harry Potter merchandise. Were people eager to turn to a cozy favorite old series in the early days of lockdown? Or has the series grown less popular over the past couple years?

Let’s dig deeper into the data to find out, starting with a look at Harry Potter Merchandise:

Demand was at its all time highest in early 2019, but dropped off quickly toward the end of the year. There doesn’t appear to have been a major pandemic influence, as that drop came in October of 2019, and stayed consistently low throughout early 2020, getting a significant boost in August, and then again during the holidays.

2021, like in 2019, started the year on a high, only to fall off to a consistent level throughout the rest of the year.

Let’s next take a look at the two biggest elements of the franchise: the books and the movies.

There does appear to be a general year-over-year decline in demand for Harry Potter books over the past 3 years.

In 2020, however, we do see demand pick up in March through May, perhaps as millions of American children found themselves picking up the series while remaining socially distant at home.

2021, meanwhile, saw demand lag far behind each of the previous two years, possibly because readers already picked up their books in 2020.

The movies have seen more inconsistent year over year changes. 2019 was consistently ahead of 2020, while last year saw demand up during the first half of the year, but it dropped significantly in September when the Harry Potter movies became available on HBO Max.

With the series finding a new home on that streaming service, it’s unsurprising that 2022 has seen demand remain at an all time low.

Harry Potter costumes, meanwhile, were clearly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. The category relies heavily on Halloween, and 2020, which saw many Americans spending the holiday isolating at home, saw demand down by 41% compared to 2019.

2021 saw demand rebound significantly, nearly matching 2019’s pre-pandemic levels.

Another Harry Potter category that was impacted even more heavily by the pandemic?

Puzzles:

Demand for Harry Potter Puzzles exploded in the first months of lockdown. March 2020 saw demand rise by an astounding 216% compared to March of 2019, and April was no different, with demand up by 200% compared to the previous year.

By June demand had settled somewhat, but it remained above 2019 for the rest of the year.

A lesson for brands

From our data, it doesn’t appear that International Harry Potter Day drives massive demand for Harry Potter merchandise, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t room for the holiday and other days to drive big demand for the franchise.

Understanding the factors that influence consumer behavior can help brands better understand how to forecast demand for their products on online marketplaces, and even inform product design and marketing strategy.

If you’d like to learn more about how you can best leverage our data to help your brand win online, holiday or not, schedule a demo today.

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Sept 27, 2022

Global Ecommerce Weekly News: 27th September 2022

Get up to date with this week's ecommerce headlines from around the globe. --- Amazon News --- Amazon drives renewable energy push with 71 new projects Amazon is planning to add 2.7 gigawatts of clean energy capacity through a couple of new projects as the company attempts to use 100% renewable energy by 2025. The ecommerce business will soon have a total of 329 renewable energy projects, generating 50,000 gigawatt hours of clean energy, which is equivalent to powering 4.6 million US homes every year. [Read more on Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/amazon-drives-renewable-energy-push-with-71-new-projects-2022-09-21/) Amazon launches Prime Early Access Sale Amazon is launching a new 2-day shopping event for its Prime members only, beginning on the 11th of October. Across 15 countries, Prime customers will have access to the shopping event, with thousands of deals on offer globall, ranging from fashion to electronics to essentials. The event has the purpose of giving Prime users the chance to spread the cost of items over the winter months, 6 weeks ahead of Black Friday. [Read more on Charged Retail](https://www.chargedretail.co.uk/2022/09/26/prime-early-access-sale/) --- Other Marketplace News --- Shopify unveils new localisation tool Shopify is launching a new localisation tool, called Translate & Adapt, which works with Shopify Markets to offer localisation for sellers who are looking to expand into new markets. The tool translates a user’s online store into different languages, including product pages and information pages. Merchants are also able to create different shipping terms for each market using the new tool, which allows international expansion and offers a more localised consumer experience, unveiling new potential. [Read more on Ecommerce News](https://ecommercenews.eu/shopify-launches-new-localisation-tool/) Etsy is set to invest hundreds of millions into its marketing platform Etsy CEO claims that the company is on route to spend more than $570 million USD on marketing this year. Even during a time of macroeconomic pressure, inflation and rising interest rates, the company is preparing itself and its sellers for the upcoming holiday season and is focused on retaining interest from buyers. [Read more on Yahoo News](https://uk.news.yahoo.com/etsy-600-million-on-marketing-ceo-154054219.html) --- Other Ecommerce News --- Meta looks to cut costs by 10% in the coming months Meta employees are facing job redundancies as the company plans to cut its costs by 10% over the next few months. Meta reported a 22% YoY increase in costs and expenses, totalling over $20 billion USD. The cuts are expected to come in the form of job redundancies as a result of department reorganisations rather than formal layoffs. [Read more on Charged Retail](https://www.chargedretail.co.uk/2022/09/22/meta-to-slash-costs-by-10-over-coming-months/) DHL teams up with Quadient to offer smart locker deliveries in the UK DHL and tech company, Quadient, have partnered to offer smart lockers parcel pick-up throughout the UK. The new contactless, secure locker stations will give recipients more choice and flexibility to receive their parcels at a time and location best suited to them. The partnership plans to install 500 locker stations across the country by the end of 2022. [Read more on Charged Retail](https://www.chargedretail.co.uk/2022/09/21/dhl-partners-with-quadient-to-offer-smart-locker-delivery/) The online fashion market is set to be worth nearly $170 billion USD in 2025 The European online fashion retail market is set to grow 50% by 2025, with an online turnover of $170 billion USD, which is 33% of the retail branch’s total. Cross-border marketplaces prove to be the largest drivers of this growth, with online websites and apps like Vinted largely pushing the market’s online growth. Zalando recently became the largest cross-border fashion retailer/marketplace, responsible for 11.7% of the online market’s share. [Read more on Ecommerce News](https://ecommercenews.eu/online-fashion-market-worth-e175-billion-in-2025/)
Sept 26, 2022

Top 5 Ways to Prepare for Peak with Google Ads

Peak season is almost upon us and with all signs pointing to it starting earlier than ever, with Christmas gifting searches now ramping up in August and September, it’s time to start preparing for peak. In this article, we’re sharing our top five tips for planning and preparing for peak season with Google Ads and the strategies required to get your Paid Search ready so you can drive success over this crucial period.

1. Go Early

In 2021, gifting search terms started increasing in popularity in August. The general trend is that people are looking, researching and weighing their options early, so it’s best to start your Paid activity early to ensure that you’re capturing that early research traffic. This will help drive revenue alongside aiding those consumers who are in their research phase.

From 2020 to 2021, spend during Cyber Week actually only rose 2% but in the weeks leading up to it, it increased by 16%. However, Cyber Week is still the biggest period during the latter half of the year, accounting for 23% of all online spend by consumers over peak. Being prepared and starting early will help you to maximise your time during this period.

2. Get Ready for Privacy Changes

 According to Google, 48% of global consumers have stopped buying or using a service due to privacy concerns. Privacy is front of mind when consumers are shopping online and we know that Google is phasing out 3rd party cookies in 2023. This is going to make it much harder to track users online and it’s something that brands need to think about this now – waiting isn’t an option.

From a Google Ads point of view, you want to ensure you have set up the Google Ads tag across your site and have enabled ‘Enhanced Conversions’, which ensures all conversions are tracked and allows you to monitor other actions such as ‘Add to Cart.’ This is relatively easy to set up, especially if you use ‘Google Tag Manager’.

It’s also vitally important that you build up your first-party data during this time as this is data you own and it can be used when targeting consumers that have provided your brand with their email address. Pattern’s own experience shows that by segmenting and using first-party data, you can see a 10% improvement in revenue and ROI.

3. Ensure Consumers Can Discover your Brand

A full-funnel approach is now more important than ever as consumers become more discerning and have more choices than ever of where to shop.

Pattern has seen success with Google Ads’ ‘Discovery Campaigns’ (image-based ads that appear on Google platforms such as Gmail and the Google app), which have driven success both from a traffic and revenue perspective.

The performance of these campaigns is significantly enhanced by adopting a segmented and nuanced approach to first-party data and incorporating these into your campaigns. Other options for a full-funnel approach include YouTube and testing bidding on keywords that are more representative of the research phase. (e.g. ‘best baby clothes’ for a baby clothes brand)

4. Get Moving with Performance Max

Earlier this year, Google announced that they were moving away from Smart Shopping and launched Performance Max. This is a new campaign type that incorporates features and placements from Smart Shopping but expands them onto other platforms such as Gmail but also alternative creative options, such as images and videos.

Since Google has already started automatically upgrading Smart Shopping campaigns to Performance Max, expect to see some fluctuations in the first 2 weeks following the switch over but results generally seem positive. We recommend upgrading sooner rather than later to limit any potential impact to peak period.

5. Flight Budgets Accordingly

Peak period will be even more competitive than in 2021 and you’ll need your budgets to support this period, we recommend boosting budgets in October to start capturing that early peak traffic. As we enter November and the Cyber Period, start early and make sure you are capturing those consumers looking for early bargains, ensuring you are being nimble in your optimisations and reacting to the data that you are seeing.

Overall, peak period is vital to help drive your sales and by preparing early, you will see strong results and drive success for your brand. If you want to discuss how your brand can navigate this next peak period, contact us to discuss your options with our performance team now.

Sept 20, 2022

4 Ecommerce Marketplace Consultant Must-Haves

Entering the ecommerce landscape is a huge undertaking for any brand—it usually requires a large investment in resources and expertise to really be successful. Any brand can quickly get in over their heads trying to navigate the nuances of SEO, fulfillment and logistics, distribution control, listing optimization, and meeting the numerous other requirements and administrative tasks to show up well on marketplaces. 

Unfortunately, because it’s so easy for third party, gray market, and unauthorized sellers to obtain and sell products online, many brands find themselves pressured to execute an ecommerce plan without the right resources to succeed on marketplaces and their other channels.

So, for brands looking to enter the ecommerce space or improve their current and future performance, it makes sense to partner with an ecommerce consultant.

Pattern’s global presence and proven success with hundreds of brands has allowed us to develop highly effective ecommerce consulting services. We can guide your brand to navigate issues both large and small in marketplaces worldwide. To maximize your ecommerce efforts, you’ll need to understand what an ecommerce consultant does and how to select one who drives the right value for your brand and products. 

What is an Ecommerce Consultant?

An ecommerce consultant is a specialist in the ecommerce space who can give you personalized guidance on how to market your products and grow their presence on digital marketplaces.

An ecommerce consultant should be able to analyze your brand, audience, category, opportunity, and current roadblocks and help you understand how to utilize your resources (or what resources are missing) to be most effective in capturing your opportunities in the ecommerce space.

Not sure how to evaluate a consultant? Here are 4 key attributes to look for as you make your choice.

1. Brand Obsession/Specialization/Passion

At Pattern, we prioritize brand obsession for a reason—we know that a brand-centered mindset makes a crucial difference in the outcomes and results our partners achieve. So in our experience, when you begin your search for an ecommerce consultant, it’s important to look for a partner who is specialized in ecommerce, invested in the product, and passionate about helping brands build and improve their strategies. Typically, this means finding someone that consults exclusively for ecommerce marketplaces, rather than choosing a consultant who offers many different services. 

2. Proven Results

It’s also important to avoid choosing a consulting partner who can’t deliver the right experience for your brand. The best indication of whether your potential consultant can do that is to review their history, data, and results with other brands. Ask if they’ve helped others in your selling category, if they’ve solved specific issues your brand is facing, and why they feel you are a good fit. The key is to leave the conversation feeling confident that you understand your consultants’ capabilities and whether or not they match up with your needs.

3. Wide Range of Marketplace Expertise

It’s best to pick a consultant who knows how to guide a brand onto and through multiple marketplaces worldwide. You’ll want to take a look at your long-term strategy and think about the regions and platforms you’re currently on and where you might want to take your brand in the future. If your consultant is truly great at what they do, they’ll be able to help you perform well enough with your current product roadmap that it’ll be a no-brainer to expand your presence at the right time.

4. Network of Resources

The most effective partnership with an ecommerce consultant will be able to give you both recommendations and point you to solutions for making those changes in your planning, processes, and execution. Your time and money is valuable, so you want to make sure that you’re spending it as efficiently as possible as you follow your consultant’s advice. So, before you commit to an ecommerce consultant, ask about the resources and concrete solutions they typically recommend to the brands they work with.

Achieve Your Ecommerce Goals With Pattern

Finding an ecommerce consultant that checks the boxes can be a difficult task. At Pattern, our entire focus and drive centers around giving brands the tools and resources they need to succeed on domestic and international ecommerce marketplaces. 

With over 100 global ecommerce consultants across 10 global offices, we have the right tools to partner with brands across the world to achieve better ecommerce success. We give specialized advice, then make sure our partners have all the adequate SEO, social media, CRM, Amazon multi-channel fulfillment services, and ecommerce outsourcing services they need.

Interested in ecommerce consulting services? Set up a call here to learn what Pattern can do for your brand on global marketplaces.